Strength
Strength
|
61 16 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
698 -88 Strength Momentum |
782 48.5(37) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/21/15 | at Hatch | 0.002 | 782 | T 3- 3 | Better (+1) | 756 | 34% | |
| 08/22/15 | Grants | 797 | F -1- 1 | Forfeit -1 | --- | 41% | | |
| 08/22/15 | at Socorro | 0.000 | 1287 | L 1-10 | Expected (-3) | 544 | 1% | |
| 08/25/15 | East Mountain !! | 0.003 | 1024 | W 2- 1 | Better (+4) | 895 | 15% | |
| 09/05/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.022 | 689 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 759 | 47% | |
| 09/12/15 | Taos | 0.047 | 952 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-1) | 658 | 22% | |
| 09/14/15 | at Capital | 0.081 | 947 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+2) | 788 | 16% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Hatch ! | 0.078 | 782 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 856 | 34% | |
| 09/21/15 | St. Michael's | 0.067 | 1182 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-2) | 620 | 5% | |
| 09/24/15 | Bosque | 0.181 | 1089 | L 0- 3 | Expected (+1) | 727 | 10% | |
| 09/26/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.181 | 654 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+4) | 893 | 51% | |
| 09/28/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.343 | 564 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 647 | 63% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.321 | 686 | W 4- 2 | Better (+2) | 808 | 47% | |
| 10/03/15 | Santa Fe Prep ?? | 0.471 | 654 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 610 | 60% | |
| 10/08/15 | ATC | 0.641 | 393 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-1) | 629 | 88% | |
| 10/14/15 | at St. Michael's ? | 0.118 | 1182 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 436 | 3% | |
| 10/16/15 | at Santa Fe Indian | 0.853 | 686 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 758 | 47% | |
| 10/19/15 | at ATC | 0.595 | 393 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 762 | 83% | |
| 10/21/15 | Desert Academy | 0.983 | 564 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 665 | 71% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Monte del Sol actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 782, while
Monte del Sol's "weighted playing strength" is 701
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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